Perfect Storm Brews with Potential Confusion over the Election Results

Reality Check Insights' co-founders discuss in The Hill

In our recent survey, 71% of Republicans believe that there will be significant voter fraud in the election.

Reality Check Insights’ co-founders, Peter Enns and Ben Leff, explore the implications in The Hill.

Methodology: Reality Check Insights State of America Survey was conducted from Oct. 17-26 (N=1,350; MOE ±3.3%). Respondents were recruited through both random address-based sampling (where respondents completed interviews either online (via smart phone or computer) or by calling a toll-free number) and opt-in sampling through online advertising (with all interviews completed online). Respondents recruited through random address-based sampling were given the option to complete the survey in English or Spanish, and online recruitment included advertising in English and Spanish. From a broad pool of online participants, quota sampling based on age, race and ethnicity, gender, education, income, region, and partisanship was used to determine eligibility for inclusion in the sample.

Each sample was weighted separately according to population benchmarks of age, race and ethnicity, gender, education, income, region, and partisanship before being combined for analysis. The margin of error was computed using the classical simple random sampling formula with an adjustment for the estimated design effect due to weighting.